Monday, January 4, 2016

Traffic and water- both need to flow - ask delhi and chennai

The recent odd even formula of the Delhi government to reduce pollution is nothing more than a direct admission that physics trumps human behaviour. As the roads in delhi remain the same there is no way that you can place more and more cars on them. This basic concept of physics that 2 objects cannot occupy the same space is the reason we have traffic jams and the resultant pollution. Now the logical extension of this is to formalise a total limit across the country (at a simplistic level) based on a vehicles per km concept. This way one can auction the rights to car ownership in each area and thus generate more revenues and use that to run buses for free!!

of course the obvious solution will never be followed as that forces accountability on the government to account for the extra revenue from these auctions to provide better public transport, they would rather play with some odd-even rule which within a decade will end up in a congestion tax and other silly things which have huge administration costs attached to it rather than the simple auction method with limited admin costs.

Of course this way only the rich can afford cars BUT aint that the system in singapore where the car registration fees is so prohibitive that only the rich can afford cars? (no point envying such countries when you refuse to follow commonsensical solutions to problems)

Now coming to the odd-even rule. It has reduced pollution from cars more than estimated simply because 1) 50% less cars (taken into account) , 2)lesser jams (taken into account) BUT they didnt take into account NO jams which means if earlier 100 cars spent 40mins on the road - now only 50 cars spend less than 5 mins on the same stretch of the road. this means that car pollution time has been cut from 100*40 = 4000 car minutes to 50*5=250 car minutes ie a 93.75% reduction in car pollution. Now when you input this number into IIT, kanpur report that cars produce less than 3% of the pollution in delhi, we can say that nearly 100% of this 3% has been eliminated by this odd-even rule.

But then i hope the government wakes up to the fact that it is always better to come up with a lasting solution(cars per km )  rather than patch work like odd-even which will require a congestion tax in the near future and better/ cheaper/ safer public transport.

of course nothing would be better than to fast forward the adoption of greener tech in cars - refer earlier blog on this here at http://forsec.blogspot.in/2015/04/ngt-law-and-acche-din-for-conspiracy.html

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