Looks like the US still smarting under Nannygate. They went after the visas of IT companies, They went after the Pharma companies - Now they have downgraded Indian Aviation's safety ranking.
Now let us look at some facts:
1. There is a 16 times more probability of dying in an air accident in the US than in India
2. For every safety incident there is a 43% strike rate in the US as opposed to a 30% in India for conversion into a fatal accident (and to think that our famous flying coffins - the MIG's are also included in this database -take them out and this conversion rate will drop rather sharply)
So what is the yardstick for the 81% to India and 90% to the US?
Now let us look at some facts:
India | US | remarks | |||
Legislation | 9 | 8 | out of 10 | ||
organisation | 6 | 10 | out of 10 | ||
licensing | 9 | 9 | out of 10 | ||
operations | 9 | 9 | out of 10 | ||
air worthiness | 9 | 10 | out of 10 | ||
accident investigation | 8 | 8 | out of 10 | ||
air navigation services | 6 | 8 | out of 10 | ||
aerodromes | 9 | 10 | out of 10 | ||
percent | 81.25 | 90 | |||
based on icao audit till | 21st dec 2012 | 19th nov 2007 | no info on audits & followups beyond this date | ||
number of safety incidents | 520 | 3180 | |||
fatal accidents | 159 | 1375 | |||
accidents/incidents | 0.305769231 | 0.432389937 | strike rate | ||
fatalities | 3105 | 14372 | |||
population | 1250000000 | 330000000 | |||
fatalities as % of pop'n | 0.0002484 | 0.004355152 | |||
probabilty score | 0.000305723 | 0.004839057 | |||
rationalise by 10000 | 3.057230769 | 48.39057239 |
1. There is a 16 times more probability of dying in an air accident in the US than in India
2. For every safety incident there is a 43% strike rate in the US as opposed to a 30% in India for conversion into a fatal accident (and to think that our famous flying coffins - the MIG's are also included in this database -take them out and this conversion rate will drop rather sharply)
So what is the yardstick for the 81% to India and 90% to the US?