Friday, January 31, 2014

FAA downgrades Indian Aviation Safety - Some facts (Nannygate continues?)

Looks like the US still smarting under Nannygate. They went after the visas of IT companies, They went after the Pharma companies - Now they have downgraded Indian Aviation's safety ranking.

Now let us look at some facts:

India US remarks
Legislation 9 8 out of 10
organisation 6 10 out of 10
licensing 9 9 out of 10
operations 9 9 out of 10
air worthiness 9 10 out of 10
accident investigation 8 8 out of 10
air navigation services 6 8 out of 10
aerodromes 9 10 out of 10
percent 81.25 90
based on icao audit till 21st dec 2012 19th nov 2007 no info on audits & followups beyond this date
number of safety incidents 520 3180
fatal accidents 159 1375
accidents/incidents 0.305769231 0.432389937 strike rate
fatalities 3105 14372
population 1250000000 330000000
fatalities as % of pop'n 0.0002484 0.004355152
probabilty score 0.000305723 0.004839057
rationalise by 10000 3.057230769 48.39057239


1. There is a 16 times more probability of dying in an air accident in the US than in India

2. For every safety incident there is a 43% strike rate in the US as opposed to a 30% in India for conversion into a fatal accident (and to think that our famous flying coffins - the MIG's are also included in this database -take them out and this conversion rate will drop rather sharply)

So what is the yardstick for the 81% to India and 90% to the US?



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